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Brad Davidson Scone preview Jan 14

 Aug 28 2019

Scone

Best play

Race 4 no.7 Asudem tote and no.2 Partners $5.50

Asudem has been going great guns this prep and the last start win was 11L quicker than Know Where To Look on the day and 7L quicker other race over same dist. He just missed two back in  a race that has produced 3 winners. The horse I want to also make a winner in this race is Partners. He has strong provincial form for this, should roll to the front and they’ve made a few gear changes just to get him to relax a touch.

Other play

Race 3 no.5 Rich And Shameless $8

$12-$8  overnight so somebody has taken our price but I loved the way he worked to the line last start over 1100m. Went way too quick over 1200m in front prior and the step to 1350m looks OK being by Shamus Award.

 

The rest are not in the strategies but wanted to mention

Roughie

Race 2 no.10 Toro Toro $11 and $2.80

Favourite Free Rider looks very hard to beat but gee I loved the way this horse trialled leading in. Won with a leg in the air and his time was about  1.4s quicker than the other 900m trial on the day. He was well held at his only start but may have turned the corner this prep? He is related to Akasaki.

Keep an eye on betting

Race 6 no.2 Mummentum $4

First-up with the 59.5kg has me a little concerned and I just want to see what the market does with her late. Looks to have ability off her two wins last prep and she beat Emanuela at this track and that horse won its next three starts. Trials have been soft.

Going well

Race 7 no.12 Pearl Roan $5

$11-$5 already so won’t be a play but held on to score over 1100m in good figures last start. Form prior was good and he should roll along on speed and give a strong kick back to 900m here. You could get better than $5.

 

Normal strategy (50 units)

Race 3 no.5 Rich And Shameless 10 unit win at $8

Race 4 no.7 Asudem 15 unit win tote

Race 4 no.2 Partners 15 unit win $5.50

10 unit main quaddie (starts r4, 18.5%): 1st leg: 2,6,7. 2nd leg: 5,8,12. 3rd leg: 2,6,9. 4th leg: 7,12.

Results: -1163 units (-14.5% POT)

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

Long game strategy (1.25 units)

Race 3 no.5 Rich And Shameless 0.25 unit win at $8

Race 4 no.7 Asudem 0.5 unit win tote

Race 4 no.2 Partners 0.5 unit win at $5.50

Results: -18.5 units (-19.8% POT)

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

 

 

 



Brad Davidson - Brad Davidson Scone preview Jan 14


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