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Brad Davidson preview Newcastle Aug 15

 Oct 14 2019

Newcastle

Value play

Race 5 no.8 Apache Dude $19 available when sent (recorded at $15 and will bring in further if I have too)

Just seem over the odds here in an even race. Comes through a better rating race than the favourite Melik last start and his last 200m was 12.30s on the day v Melik’s 12.48 who was racing over a shorter trip. He was also beaten half a length by the $6.50 chance, Magic Charlie last start. Magic Charlie has drawn wide after drawing well last start as well and Apache Dude meets the horse 4kg better off at the weights from that day.  Was a bit keen last start so blinkers coming off is not a bad thing as well.

Normal strategy

Race 5 no.8 Apache Dude 10 unit win at $15

Results: -66 units, -1.4%POT, 4366 unit outlay)

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

Long game strategy

Race 5 no.8 Apache Dude 0.25 unit win at $15

Overall: +12.3 unit profit, (9.5%POT, 129.55 units outlayed)

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.



- Brad Davidson preview Newcastle Aug 15


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