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Brad Davidson preview Kensington Jan 1

BRAD DAVIDSON PREVIEW KENSINGTON JAN 1 Dec 5 2019

Best bets

Race 5 no.5 Killer Instinct $3.20 *taking totw (rated $3.20, confidence 7/10)

Got there fresh then tempo/dist against last start where actually zipped home in 33.6 QL6OO of race and 3rd quickest of day. Crying out for 1800.

Race 1 No.7 Yumi $3 (no rated price, confidence 7/10)

Jumped well, given easy time when second in recent Rosehill 900m trial to Miss Canada who was runner up Rwick debut last Sat. Given easy time in trial/ Mum is a sibling to Black Caviar-

Best value

Race 3 no.4 Nyami $8.5 (rated $7, confidence 6/10)

Closed off well fresh in solid race (slightly slower other mdn on day but 2nd horse Battleground placed in Gosf Guineas since). Extra trip should help (out of Zabeel mare).

Other play

Race 8 no.4 Cisco Bay $4.80 (rated $4.30) and no.5 Dalmatia Prince $8.50 (rated $8.50)

Happy to back the two horses here- Cisco Bay chased home Mr Dependable last start and his two runs for the new stable have both been good, while Dalmatia Prince caught the eye fresh and should run on.

 

Normal strategy (110 units)

Race 1 no.7 Yumi 25 unit win at $3

Race 3 no.4 Nyami 15 unit win at $8.50

Race 5 no.5 Killer Instinct 25 unit win tote

Race 8 no.4 Cisco Bay 25 unit win at $4.80

Race 8 no.5 Dalmatia Prince 10 unit win tote

10 unit main quaddie (8.9%): 1st leg: 5,4. 2nd leg: 11,5,7,6. 3rd leg: 6,4,3,8,1,7,10. 4th leg: 4,5.

Results: -986 units (-13.4% POT, 306 units outlayed)

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

Long game strategy (3 units)

Race 1 no.7 Yumi 0.75 unit win at $3

Race 3 no.4 Nyami 0.5 unit win at $8.5

Race 5 no.5 Killer Instinct 0.75 unit win tote

Race 8 no.4 Cisco Bay 0.75 unit win at $4.80

Race 8 no.5 Dalmatia Prince 0.25 unit win tote          

Results: -12.2 units (-16.9% POT, 72 units outlayed)

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

 



Brad Davidson preview Kensington Jan 1 - Brad Davidson preview Kensington Jan 1


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