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Brad Davidson preview Rosehill April 12

BRAD DAVIDSON PREVIEW ROSEHILL APRIL 1 Mar 6 2020

Best bet

Race 2 no.10 Duenna ***$4.80 locked in yesterday

Should have won comfortably first-up and trialled the house down prior to that as well. Has good form lines around Akari and co last prep and maps to park just off the leaders here and be strong late. I think she will start favourite over Battleground who comes out of a poor rating race fresh where he was a bit disappointing for mine. Blinkers coming off will help him though as he was keen that day.

Best roughie

Race 3 no.14 Surjin $21 and $5

Not often you get $21 about a horse that beat the favourite for this race, All Time Legend ($3.70) home last start. Sure, All Time Legend was held up last start but Surjin was still holding him on the line. Should do no work in the run and he is a good place prospect here, with a sneaky knockout hope. Is going really well this prep.

 

Others to mention

Race 1 no.9 Rock My Wand

Small play only due to a couple of concerns being: 1400m back to 1200m and the map concerns me a touch with Rock My Wand likely to be a couple of lengths off the favourite, Gundy Bridge who should roll to the front with the best front running rider in the business, Tim Clark on. But she clearly has the best form coming into this, Rock My Wand. She had no luck at all two back behind a subsequent Group winner in Thermosphere and then chased home Cultural Amnesia in strong time on the Kenso track last start. She put a gap in the rest of the field that day. Deserves to breakthrough.

 

Race 8 no.7 Military Magic ***Not in strategy as I reckon best to play late as I think Instant Attraction will start fav and you'll get a better price on MM (save 18. Instant Attraction)

Exciting race where we get to see Military Magic and Instant Attraction lock horns again. There was little between them at Canterbury when they paired off last prep and they should be fighting out the finish again. I have a leaning to Military Magic, who is unbeaten and I loved her trial leading in. Instant Attraction had no luck at all fresh (having said that, I would have liked to have seen her run through the line a touch better?) and the blinkers go on here. I would suggest a saver on her.

 

***Randwick early play Saturday

Race 6 no.1 Mamaragan $3.70 (rated $3.10, confidence 7/10)

Has clearly the best form coming into this with a dashing third in the Golden Slipper at just start no.2. Slight query about whether he has enough for another big run in his first racing prep but form wise looks very hard to beat. Expect him to firm.

 

Normal strategy

Race 1 no.9 Rock My Wand 15 unit win at $4.80

Race 2 no.10 Duenna $4.80 **30 unit win locked in yesterday

Race 3 no.14 Surjin 5 unit win at $21 and 15 unit place at $5

10 unit Rosehill quaddie (6.25%, starts r5): 1st leg: 9,13,12,6. 2nd leg: 8,12,11,2,13. 3rd leg: 7,5,17,2. 4th leg: 7,18.

Randwick early play

Race 6 no.1 Mamaragan 45 unit win at $3.70

Results: To be updated.

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

Long game strategy

Race 1 no.9 Rock My Wand 0.5 unit win at $4.80

Race 2 no.10 Duenna 1 unit win at $4.80* locked in yesterday

Race 3 no.14 Surjin 0.1 unit win at $21 and 0.4 unit place at $5

Randwick early play

Race 6 no.1 Mamaragan 1.5 unit win at $3.70

Results: To be updated.

Gamble Responsibly. Gamblers Help 1800 858 858

Think! About your choices.

 

 



Brad Davidson preview Rosehill April 1 - Brad Davidson preview Rosehill April 1


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